Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000476 0.000517 0.000559 0.000606 0.000658 0.000711 0.000772
2026-02-08 0.000410 0.000466 0.000526 0.000596 0.000676 0.000763 0.000866
2026-02-15 0.000363 0.000428 0.000501 0.000588 0.000692 0.000809 0.000953
2026-02-22 0.000327 0.000398 0.000480 0.000582 0.000705 0.000850 0.001032
2026-03-01 0.000299 0.000374 0.000462 0.000576 0.000717 0.000887 0.001107
2026-03-08 0.000273 0.000350 0.000443 0.000565 0.000721 0.000913 0.001168
2026-03-15 0.000252 0.000330 0.000427 0.000557 0.000726 0.000939 0.001228
2026-03-22 0.000231 0.000309 0.000408 0.000542 0.000722 0.000952 0.001272
2026-03-29 0.000215 0.000293 0.000394 0.000534 0.000725 0.000974 0.001325
2026-04-05 0.000202 0.000281 0.000385 0.000531 0.000734 0.001003 0.001390
2026-04-12 0.000193 0.000272 0.000379 0.000532 0.000748 0.001039 0.001465
2026-04-19 0.000182 0.000262 0.000370 0.000528 0.000754 0.001065 0.001526
2026-04-26 0.000170 0.000248 0.000357 0.000519 0.000754 0.001083 0.001580
2026-05-03 0.000158 0.000236 0.000345 0.000511 0.000756 0.001105 0.001641
2026-05-10 0.000149 0.000226 0.000336 0.000505 0.000760 0.001129 0.001706
2026-05-17 0.000140 0.000216 0.000327 0.000500 0.000764 0.001154 0.001772
2026-05-24 0.000132 0.000207 0.000318 0.000495 0.000769 0.001178 0.001839
2026-05-31 0.000124 0.000197 0.000308 0.000486 0.000766 0.001192 0.001889
2026-06-07 0.000117 0.000189 0.000299 0.000478 0.000766 0.001209 0.001945
2026-06-14 0.000109 0.000179 0.000287 0.000466 0.000757 0.001212 0.001978
2026-06-21 0.000103 0.000171 0.000278 0.000459 0.000756 0.001227 0.002030
2026-06-28 0.000098 0.000166 0.000273 0.000457 0.000762 0.001253 0.002103
2026-07-05 0.000095 0.000162 0.000270 0.000458 0.000774 0.001289 0.002191